Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PORR AG (ABS2.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$491.41 - $578.97$542.58
Multi-Stage$346.34 - $380.04$362.88
Blended Fair Value$452.73
Current Price$28.20
Upside1,505.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.75%13.10%1.121.010.980.510.331.161.160.981.290.62
YoY Growth--11.21%2.66%92.51%55.10%-71.75%0.00%19.03%-24.18%106.55%90.76%
Dividend Yield--4.27%7.12%7.27%4.32%2.23%8.19%6.05%3.71%3.92%2.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)107.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)50.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)57.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.5113.448.07
Cash Retained (M)57.2757.2757.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.51-13.44-8.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)35.7643.8249.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.9436.9436.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.971.191.33
LTM Dividend per Share1.361.361.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.971.191.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.332.552.69
WACC / Discount Rate1.61%1.61%1.61%
Growth Rate5.48%6.48%7.48%
Fair Value$491.41$542.58$578.97
Upside / Downside1,642.59%1,824.03%1,953.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)107.55114.52121.94129.84138.26147.22151.63
Payout Ratio46.75%55.40%64.05%72.70%81.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)50.2863.4578.1194.40112.47132.49140.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.61%1.61%1.61%
Growth Rate5.48%6.48%7.48%
Year 1 PV (M)61.8562.4463.03
Year 2 PV (M)74.2375.6577.07
Year 3 PV (M)87.4689.9792.53
Year 4 PV (M)101.59105.50109.52
Year 5 PV (M)116.67122.31128.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,350.9112,947.5813,567.08
Equity Value (M)12,792.7213,403.4414,037.39
Shares Outstanding (M)36.9436.9436.94
Fair Value$346.34$362.88$380.04
Upside / Downside1,128.17%1,186.80%1,247.66%

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