Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

ABO Energy GmbH & Co. KGaA (AB9.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$979.79 - $1,154.36$1,081.80
Multi-Stage$666.03 - $731.06$697.94
Blended Fair Value$889.87
Current Price$38.60
Upside2,205.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.50%13.72%0.600.540.490.450.390.350.330.410.210.18
YoY Growth--11.13%10.20%8.89%16.61%10.81%5.00%-20.01%99.95%13.67%10.01%
Dividend Yield--1.66%1.33%0.66%0.81%0.83%2.05%1.95%2.44%1.22%1.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)53.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)47.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.706.694.01
Cash Retained (M)47.5347.5347.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.70-6.69-4.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)36.8240.8443.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.229.229.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.994.434.72
LTM Dividend per Share0.650.650.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.994.434.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.645.085.37
WACC / Discount Rate2.24%2.24%2.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$979.79$1,081.80$1,154.36
Upside / Downside2,438.31%2,702.59%2,890.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)53.5257.0060.7164.6568.8573.3375.53
Payout Ratio11.20%26.96%42.72%58.48%74.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.9915.3725.9337.8151.1266.0069.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.24%2.24%2.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)14.8915.0315.17
Year 2 PV (M)24.3524.8125.28
Year 3 PV (M)34.3935.3836.38
Year 4 PV (M)45.0546.7948.57
Year 5 PV (M)56.3659.0861.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,966.326,254.506,553.70
Equity Value (M)6,141.366,435.586,741.01
Shares Outstanding (M)9.229.229.22
Fair Value$666.03$697.94$731.06
Upside / Downside1,625.46%1,708.12%1,793.93%

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