Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Aallon Group Oyj (AALLON.HE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.12 - $11.92$9.95
Multi-Stage$14.95 - $16.40$15.66
Blended Fair Value$12.81
Current Price$11.45
Upside11.83%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS-10.93%0.00%0.220.210.200.180.180.390.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--4.87%6.35%10.05%-0.47%-54.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.57%1.97%1.90%1.53%1.82%3.71%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.48
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.820.510.31
Cash Retained (M)1.481.481.48
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.82-0.51-0.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.660.971.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.893.893.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.250.30
LTM Dividend per Share0.670.670.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.250.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.840.920.97
WACC / Discount Rate8.16%8.16%8.16%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$8.12$9.95$11.92
Upside / Downside-29.12%-13.14%4.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4.094.054.013.973.933.894.01
Payout Ratio63.85%69.08%74.31%79.54%84.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.612.802.983.163.333.503.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.16%8.16%8.16%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2.562.592.61
Year 2 PV (M)2.502.552.60
Year 3 PV (M)2.422.502.57
Year 4 PV (M)2.342.432.53
Year 5 PV (M)2.252.372.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)46.0948.4950.99
Equity Value (M)58.1560.9163.79
Shares Outstanding (M)3.893.893.89
Fair Value$14.95$15.66$16.40
Upside / Downside30.60%36.81%43.27%

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