DDM Analysis: 9631.SR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$51.52 - $76.13	$63.30
Multi-Stage	$92.01 - $101.28	$96.56
Blended Fair Value	$79.93
Current Price	$41.90
Upside	90.76%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.98	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.08%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	44.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	6.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)	37.82

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	8.90	5.57	3.34
Cash Retained (M)	37.82	37.82	37.82
(-) Cash Required (M)	-8.90	-5.57	-3.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)	28.92	32.26	34.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6.83	6.83	6.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share	4.23	4.72	5.05
LTM Dividend per Share	0.98	0.98	0.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share	4.23	4.72	5.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.21	5.70	6.03
WACC / Discount Rate	7.92%	7.92%	7.92%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$51.52	$63.30	$76.13
Upside / Downside	22.95%	51.08%	81.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	44.52	44.08	43.64	43.20	42.77	42.34	43.61
Payout Ratio	15.05%	30.04%	45.03%	60.02%	75.01%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	6.70	13.24	19.65	25.93	32.08	38.11	40.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.92%	7.92%	7.92%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	12.14	12.27	12.39
Year 2 PV (M)	16.53	16.87	17.21
Year 3 PV (M)	20.01	20.63	21.26
Year 4 PV (M)	22.71	23.65	24.62
Year 5 PV (M)	24.74	26.03	27.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)	532.31	560.03	588.89
Equity Value (M)	628.45	659.48	691.75
Shares Outstanding (M)	6.83	6.83	6.83
Fair Value	$92.01	$96.56	$101.28
Upside / Downside	119.60%	130.44%	141.72%

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Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co. (9631.SR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener