DDM Analysis: 9607.SR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$28.85 - $41.02	$34.84
Multi-Stage	$44.41 - $48.74	$46.53
Blended Fair Value	$40.69
Current Price	$52.00
Upside	-21.76%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.77	0.70	0.89	0.19	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	9.74%	-20.72%	367.14%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.17%	1.43%	1.81%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	30.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	8.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)	21.66

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	6.02	3.76	2.26
Cash Retained (M)	21.66	21.66	21.66
(-) Cash Required (M)	-6.02	-3.76	-2.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)	15.63	17.89	19.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6.97	6.97	6.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.24	2.57	2.78
LTM Dividend per Share	1.21	1.21	1.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.24	2.57	2.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.46	3.78	4.00
WACC / Discount Rate	9.74%	9.74%	9.74%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$28.85	$34.84	$41.02
Upside / Downside	-44.53%	-33.00%	-21.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	30.12	29.82	29.52	29.22	28.93	28.64	29.50
Payout Ratio	28.09%	40.47%	52.85%	65.24%	77.62%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	8.46	12.07	15.60	19.06	22.46	25.78	27.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.74%	9.74%	9.74%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	10.89	11.00	11.11
Year 2 PV (M)	12.69	12.96	13.22
Year 3 PV (M)	13.99	14.43	14.87
Year 4 PV (M)	14.87	15.48	16.12
Year 5 PV (M)	15.39	16.20	17.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)	241.83	254.42	267.53
Equity Value (M)	309.66	324.48	339.87
Shares Outstanding (M)	6.97	6.97	6.97
Fair Value	$44.41	$46.53	$48.74
Upside / Downside	-14.60%	-10.51%	-6.27%

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ASG Plastic Factory Co. (9607.SR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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