DDM Analysis: 9536.SR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$48.80 - $71.33	$59.67
Multi-Stage	$85.90 - $94.33	$90.04
Blended Fair Value	$74.85
Current Price	$68.95
Upside	8.56%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019
DPS	-16.25%	0.00%	1.50	2.54	3.17	3.18	4.89	3.64	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-40.94%	-19.95%	-0.18%	-35.04%	34.39%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.67%	2.75%	3.53%	3.44%	5.30%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	9.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5.20

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1.82	1.14	0.68
Cash Retained (M)	5.20	5.20	5.20
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1.82	-1.14	-0.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)	3.38	4.06	4.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1.41	1.41	1.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.40	2.88	3.20
LTM Dividend per Share	2.77	2.77	2.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.40	2.88	3.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.17	5.65	5.97
WACC / Discount Rate	8.38%	8.38%	8.38%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$48.80	$59.67	$71.33
Upside / Downside	-29.22%	-13.46%	3.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	9.11	9.02	8.93	8.84	8.75	8.66	8.92
Payout Ratio	42.88%	52.31%	61.73%	71.15%	80.58%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3.91	4.72	5.51	6.29	7.05	7.80	8.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.38%	8.38%	8.38%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	4.31	4.35	4.40
Year 2 PV (M)	4.60	4.69	4.79
Year 3 PV (M)	4.79	4.94	5.09
Year 4 PV (M)	4.91	5.11	5.32
Year 5 PV (M)	4.96	5.21	5.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)	97.57	102.65	107.94
Equity Value (M)	121.12	126.95	133.01
Shares Outstanding (M)	1.41	1.41	1.41
Fair Value	$85.90	$90.04	$94.33
Upside / Downside	24.59%	30.58%	36.82%

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Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536.SR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener