Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Ladun Investment Company (9535.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$37.18 - $47.43$44.45
Multi-Stage$8.07 - $8.84$8.45
Blended Fair Value$26.45
Current Price$3.60
Upside634.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS10.47%0.00%0.040.070.030.040.000.020.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---42.86%133.34%-18.51%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.11%1.17%2.08%2.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)119.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)79.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.8514.918.94
Cash Retained (M)79.2479.2479.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.85-14.91-8.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)55.3964.3470.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)500.00500.00500.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.190.210.22
WACC / Discount Rate6.04%6.04%6.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$37.18$44.45$47.43
Upside / Downside932.87%1,134.65%1,217.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)119.24126.99135.25144.04153.40163.37168.27
Payout Ratio33.54%44.84%56.13%67.42%78.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40.0056.9475.9197.11120.74147.03155.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.04%6.04%6.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)53.1953.6954.20
Year 2 PV (M)66.2567.5168.78
Year 3 PV (M)79.1781.4483.75
Year 4 PV (M)91.9595.4999.13
Year 5 PV (M)104.61109.66114.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,641.093,816.953,999.55
Equity Value (M)4,036.254,224.744,420.31
Shares Outstanding (M)500.00500.00500.00
Fair Value$8.07$8.45$8.84
Upside / Downside124.24%134.71%145.57%

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