DDM Analysis: 8914.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2,137.84 - $8,891.50	$3,678.76
Multi-Stage	$1,350.82 - $1,475.37	$1,411.96
Blended Fair Value	$2,545.36
Current Price	$1,211.00
Upside	110.19%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	20.41%	17.01%	28.95	17.20	11.72	7.70	9.93	11.43	9.66	9.45	9.40	8.68
YoY Growth	-	-	68.26%	46.81%	52.15%	-22.45%	-13.14%	18.41%	2.16%	0.57%	8.29%	44.22%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.96%	2.60%	1.99%	1.15%	1.71%	3.26%	2.05%	0.55%	1.27%	1.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,589.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,609.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,980.21

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	717.87	448.67	269.20
Cash Retained (M)	1,980.21	1,980.21	1,980.21
(-) Cash Required (M)	-717.87	-448.67	-269.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,262.34	1,531.54	1,711.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	50.78	50.78	50.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share	24.86	30.16	33.69
LTM Dividend per Share	31.69	31.69	31.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share	24.86	30.16	33.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend	56.55	61.85	65.38
WACC / Discount Rate	8.29%	8.29%	8.29%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$2,137.84	$3,678.76	$8,891.50
Upside / Downside	76.54%	203.78%	634.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,589.34	3,822.64	4,071.11	4,335.74	4,617.56	4,917.70	5,065.23
Payout Ratio	44.83%	53.86%	62.90%	71.93%	80.97%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,609.13	2,059.05	2,560.67	3,118.80	3,738.66	4,425.93	4,685.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.29%	8.29%	8.29%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,883.56	1,901.42	1,919.27
Year 2 PV (M)	2,142.79	2,183.60	2,224.80
Year 3 PV (M)	2,387.40	2,455.93	2,525.76
Year 4 PV (M)	2,617.98	2,718.66	2,822.22
Year 5 PV (M)	2,835.09	2,972.03	3,114.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)	56,729.60	59,469.66	62,314.59
Equity Value (M)	68,596.42	71,701.30	74,920.85
Shares Outstanding (M)	50.78	50.78	50.78
Fair Value	$1,350.82	$1,411.96	$1,475.37
Upside / Downside	11.55%	16.59%	21.83%

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Arealink Co., Ltd. (8914.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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