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Definitive Analysis

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Fuso Dentsu Co., Ltd. (7505.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,457.54 - $6,593.91$4,719.60
Multi-Stage$3,068.80 - $3,355.09$3,209.32
Blended Fair Value$3,964.46
Current Price$1,637.00
Upside142.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019
DPS22.30%0.00%48.5430.8515.7035.3522.6317.7415.520.000.000.00
YoY Growth--57.32%96.52%-55.59%56.18%27.59%14.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.96%3.46%2.11%6.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,517.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)562.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,954.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)503.48314.68188.81
Cash Retained (M)1,954.441,954.441,954.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-503.48-314.68-188.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,450.961,639.761,765.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.6011.6011.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share125.06141.33152.18
LTM Dividend per Share48.5248.5248.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share125.06141.33152.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend173.58189.85200.70
WACC / Discount Rate9.50%9.50%9.50%
Growth Rate4.26%5.26%6.26%
Fair Value$3,457.54$4,719.60$6,593.91
Upside / Downside111.21%188.31%302.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,517.402,649.912,789.392,936.213,090.763,253.443,351.04
Payout Ratio22.36%35.89%49.42%62.95%76.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)562.96951.061,378.451,848.202,363.582,928.103,099.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.50%9.50%9.50%
Growth Rate4.26%5.26%6.26%
Year 1 PV (M)860.31868.56876.81
Year 2 PV (M)1,127.941,149.681,171.63
Year 3 PV (M)1,368.021,407.771,448.27
Year 4 PV (M)1,582.571,644.171,707.54
Year 5 PV (M)1,773.481,860.181,950.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,892.5330,304.9231,772.00
Equity Value (M)35,604.8737,235.2838,926.49
Shares Outstanding (M)11.6011.6011.60
Fair Value$3,068.80$3,209.32$3,355.09
Upside / Downside87.46%96.05%104.95%

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