Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (7267.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,202.92 - $4,041.15$2,962.14
Multi-Stage$1,778.11 - $1,936.29$1,855.79
Blended Fair Value$2,408.97
Current Price$1,394.50
Upside72.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS12.06%8.17%77.7254.0547.7042.1032.4243.9843.4138.9336.2535.44
YoY Growth--43.80%13.30%13.31%29.85%-26.27%1.30%11.51%7.41%2.27%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.57%3.07%3.30%3.84%2.74%4.79%4.58%3.59%3.55%4.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)652,983.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)307,347.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)345,636.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)130,596.6081,622.8848,973.73
Cash Retained (M)345,636.00345,636.00345,636.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-130,596.60-81,622.88-48,973.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)215,039.40264,013.13296,662.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,475.054,475.054,475.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share48.0559.0066.29
LTM Dividend per Share68.6868.6868.68
(+) Excess Retained per Share48.0559.0066.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend116.73127.68134.97
WACC / Discount Rate11.09%11.09%11.09%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,202.92$2,962.14$4,041.15
Upside / Downside57.97%112.42%189.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)652,983.00695,426.90740,629.64788,770.57840,040.66894,643.30921,482.60
Payout Ratio47.07%55.65%64.24%72.83%81.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)307,347.00387,036.49475,787.06574,439.99683,907.59805,178.97852,371.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.09%11.09%11.09%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)345,126.25348,397.59351,668.93
Year 2 PV (M)378,324.80385,530.82392,804.83
Year 3 PV (M)407,307.99419,000.34430,914.34
Year 4 PV (M)432,416.02449,045.52466,150.12
Year 5 PV (M)453,965.52475,892.22498,658.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,939,995.746,226,899.766,524,784.27
Equity Value (M)7,957,136.338,304,766.268,664,980.59
Shares Outstanding (M)4,475.054,475.054,475.05
Fair Value$1,778.11$1,855.79$1,936.29
Upside / Downside27.51%33.08%38.85%

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