DDM Analysis: 688571.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$5.38 - $11.71	$7.71
Multi-Stage	$4.18 - $4.55	$4.36
Blended Fair Value	$6.03
Current Price	$7.91
Upside	-23.73%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2015	2014
DPS	14.65%	10.80%	0.15	0.12	0.16	0.09	0.10	0.08	0.05	0.06	0.14	0.17
YoY Growth	-	-	22.55%	-20.00%	81.82%	-12.70%	27.27%	46.63%	-8.43%	-59.47%	-14.05%	201.08%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.11%	1.98%	2.60%	1.41%	1.37%	0.69%	0.00%	0.00%	1.26%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	113.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	83.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)	29.81

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	22.75	14.22	8.53
Cash Retained (M)	29.81	29.81	29.81
(-) Cash Required (M)	-22.75	-14.22	-8.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)	7.07	15.60	21.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	409.63	409.63	409.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.04	0.05
LTM Dividend per Share	0.20	0.20	0.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.04	0.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.22	0.24	0.26
WACC / Discount Rate	9.86%	9.86%	9.86%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$5.38	$7.71	$11.71
Upside / Downside	-32.00%	-2.56%	48.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	113.74	121.13	129.00	137.39	146.32	155.83	160.50
Payout Ratio	73.79%	77.03%	80.27%	83.51%	86.76%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	83.92	93.30	103.55	114.74	126.94	140.24	148.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.86%	9.86%	9.86%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	84.13	84.93	85.73
Year 2 PV (M)	84.20	85.80	87.42
Year 3 PV (M)	84.13	86.54	89.00
Year 4 PV (M)	83.93	87.15	90.47
Year 5 PV (M)	83.61	87.65	91.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,290.81	1,353.15	1,417.89
Equity Value (M)	1,710.81	1,785.23	1,862.36
Shares Outstanding (M)	409.63	409.63	409.63
Fair Value	$4.18	$4.36	$4.55
Upside / Downside	-47.20%	-44.90%	-42.52%

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Hangzhou Toka Ink Co., Ltd. (688571.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener