DDM Analysis: 6884.TWO

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$25.95 - $37.63	$31.62
Multi-Stage	$45.02 - $49.37	$47.16
Blended Fair Value	$39.39
Current Price	$55.10
Upside	-28.52%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019
DPS	-22.85%	0.00%	1.03	0.98	0.00	0.00	0.00	3.78	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	5.32%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.72%	1.69%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	58.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	33.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)	25.42

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	11.74	7.34	4.40
Cash Retained (M)	25.42	25.42	25.42
(-) Cash Required (M)	-11.74	-7.34	-4.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)	13.68	18.08	21.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	16.53	16.53	16.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.83	1.09	1.27
LTM Dividend per Share	2.01	2.01	2.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.83	1.09	1.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.84	3.11	3.29
WACC / Discount Rate	8.73%	8.73%	8.73%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$25.95	$31.62	$37.63
Upside / Downside	-52.90%	-42.62%	-31.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	58.70	58.12	57.53	56.96	56.39	55.83	57.50
Payout Ratio	56.70%	63.36%	70.02%	76.68%	83.34%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	33.28	36.82	40.28	43.68	46.99	50.24	53.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.73%	8.73%	8.73%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	33.52	33.86	34.21
Year 2 PV (M)	33.39	34.08	34.77
Year 3 PV (M)	32.96	33.98	35.02
Year 4 PV (M)	32.29	33.62	35.00
Year 5 PV (M)	31.43	33.06	34.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)	580.63	610.87	642.35
Equity Value (M)	744.22	779.47	816.11
Shares Outstanding (M)	16.53	16.53	16.53
Fair Value	$45.02	$47.16	$49.37
Upside / Downside	-18.29%	-14.42%	-10.39%

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Highpoint Service Network Corporation (6884.TWO)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener