Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Depo Auto Parts Industrial Co., Ltd. (6605.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,246.06 - $2,647.31$2,480.42
Multi-Stage$1,646.11 - $1,809.52$1,726.26
Blended Fair Value$2,103.34
Current Price$132.00
Upside1,493.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.09%4.97%6.444.952.971.391.492.282.482.972.484.46
YoY Growth--30.00%66.67%114.29%-6.67%-34.78%-8.00%-16.67%20.00%-44.44%12.50%
Dividend Yield--3.33%2.31%3.27%2.32%2.37%5.30%3.63%3.52%2.98%4.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,276.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,492.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)783.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)455.26284.54170.72
Cash Retained (M)783.97783.97783.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-455.26-284.54-170.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)328.70499.43613.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)167.46167.46167.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.962.983.66
LTM Dividend per Share8.918.918.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.962.983.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.8711.8912.57
WACC / Discount Rate-0.81%-0.81%-0.81%
Growth Rate3.27%4.27%5.27%
Fair Value$2,246.06$2,480.42$2,647.31
Upside / Downside1,601.56%1,779.11%1,905.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,276.312,373.552,474.952,580.672,690.922,805.872,890.04
Payout Ratio65.56%70.45%75.34%80.22%85.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,492.351,672.121,864.532,070.322,290.292,525.282,673.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.81%-0.81%-0.81%
Growth Rate3.27%4.27%5.27%
Year 1 PV (M)1,669.561,685.721,701.89
Year 2 PV (M)1,858.821,894.991,931.51
Year 3 PV (M)2,060.822,121.262,182.88
Year 4 PV (M)2,276.292,365.742,457.81
Year 5 PV (M)2,505.992,629.702,758.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)265,287.35278,382.64291,990.04
Equity Value (M)275,658.82289,080.06303,022.37
Shares Outstanding (M)167.46167.46167.46
Fair Value$1,646.11$1,726.26$1,809.52
Upside / Downside1,147.06%1,207.77%1,270.85%

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