Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Kuang Hong Arts Management Incorporation (6596.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: EntertainmentSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$164.96 - $250.01$204.97
Multi-Stage$338.63 - $372.61$355.29
Blended Fair Value$280.13
Current Price$150.50
Upside86.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS28.15%0.00%4.730.410.003.653.391.370.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--1,066.00%0.00%-100.00%7.80%147.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.98%0.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)701.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)266.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)435.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)140.3887.7452.64
Cash Retained (M)435.90435.90435.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-140.38-87.74-52.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)295.52348.16383.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.9536.9536.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.009.4210.37
LTM Dividend per Share7.207.207.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.009.4210.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.2016.6217.57
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$164.96$204.97$250.01
Upside / Downside9.61%36.19%66.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)701.90694.88687.93681.05674.24667.50687.52
Payout Ratio37.90%48.32%58.74%69.16%79.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)266.00335.75404.08471.01536.56600.75635.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)310.53313.70316.87
Year 2 PV (M)345.66352.75359.91
Year 3 PV (M)372.65384.17395.93
Year 4 PV (M)392.62408.90425.67
Year 5 PV (M)406.58427.75449.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,683.3911,239.7011,818.95
Equity Value (M)12,511.4313,126.9713,767.12
Shares Outstanding (M)36.9536.9536.95
Fair Value$338.63$355.29$372.61
Upside / Downside125.00%136.07%147.58%

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