Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

Sector

Amazing Microelectronic Corp. (6411.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30.26 - $45.28$37.39
Multi-Stage$62.96 - $69.09$65.97
Blended Fair Value$51.68
Current Price$72.70
Upside-28.92%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-4.85%0.00%2.453.246.674.633.873.140.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---24.30%-51.49%44.00%19.61%23.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.22%3.08%5.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)363.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)311.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)51.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)72.6245.3927.23
Cash Retained (M)51.7951.7951.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-72.62-45.39-27.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)-20.836.4024.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)99.3099.3099.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.210.060.25
LTM Dividend per Share3.133.133.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.210.060.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.933.203.38
WACC / Discount Rate7.34%7.34%7.34%
Growth Rate-2.12%-1.12%-0.12%
Fair Value$30.26$37.39$45.28
Upside / Downside-58.37%-48.57%-37.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)363.08359.00354.97350.98347.03343.13353.42
Payout Ratio85.74%86.59%87.44%88.29%89.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)311.30310.86310.39309.89309.37308.82326.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.34%7.34%7.34%
Growth Rate-2.12%-1.12%-0.12%
Year 1 PV (M)286.68289.61292.54
Year 2 PV (M)263.99269.41274.89
Year 3 PV (M)243.07250.59258.27
Year 4 PV (M)223.78233.07242.64
Year 5 PV (M)206.01216.75227.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,028.685,290.885,563.90
Equity Value (M)6,252.216,550.316,860.17
Shares Outstanding (M)99.3099.3099.30
Fair Value$62.96$65.97$69.09
Upside / Downside-13.39%-9.26%-4.97%

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