Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sumitomo Precision Products Co., Ltd. (6355.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,711.33 - $8,160.14$6,912.67
Multi-Stage$8,699.96 - $9,567.03$9,125.06
Blended Fair Value$8,018.86
Current Price$3,635.00
Upside120.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.0088.4288.42106.17123.92123.92123.92141.67
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-16.72%-14.32%0.00%0.00%-12.53%-15.90%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%3.17%2.42%3.02%4.02%2.71%2.79%3.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,497.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)211.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,286.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)499.40312.13187.28
Cash Retained (M)2,286.002,286.002,286.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-499.40-312.13-187.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,786.601,973.882,098.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.992.992.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share598.36661.08702.90
LTM Dividend per Share70.6770.6770.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share598.36661.08702.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend669.03731.75773.57
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5,711.33$6,912.67$8,160.14
Upside / Downside57.12%90.17%124.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,497.002,472.032,447.312,422.842,398.612,374.622,445.86
Payout Ratio8.45%24.76%41.07%57.38%73.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)211.00612.081,005.111,390.231,767.542,137.162,262.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)553.43559.08564.73
Year 2 PV (M)821.73838.58855.61
Year 3 PV (M)1,027.671,059.461,091.89
Year 4 PV (M)1,181.401,230.361,280.83
Year 5 PV (M)1,291.581,358.841,428.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,100.6922,199.4523,343.51
Equity Value (M)25,976.5027,245.7628,565.43
Shares Outstanding (M)2.992.992.99
Fair Value$8,699.96$9,125.06$9,567.03
Upside / Downside139.34%151.03%163.19%

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