Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Aichi Corporation (6345.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,242.68 - $2,227.54$1,655.86
Multi-Stage$1,201.80 - $1,309.69$1,254.78
Blended Fair Value$1,455.32
Current Price$1,367.00
Upside6.46%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS12.35%14.69%43.1740.3639.4134.5229.4324.1224.1221.9319.7312.06
YoY Growth--6.96%2.43%14.14%17.31%22.03%0.00%10.00%11.11%63.63%10.00%
Dividend Yield--3.19%3.19%4.51%4.02%3.61%3.25%3.37%3.38%2.53%1.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,166.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,102.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,063.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,233.24770.77462.46
Cash Retained (M)2,063.652,063.652,063.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,233.24-770.77-462.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)830.411,292.881,601.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)70.8170.8170.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share11.7318.2622.61
LTM Dividend per Share57.9457.9457.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share11.7318.2622.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend69.6676.2080.55
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate4.14%5.14%6.14%
Fair Value$1,242.68$1,655.86$2,227.54
Upside / Downside-9.09%21.13%62.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,166.196,483.296,816.707,167.267,535.847,923.388,161.08
Payout Ratio66.53%71.23%75.92%80.61%85.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,102.544,617.815,175.225,777.756,428.577,131.047,549.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate4.14%5.14%6.14%
Year 1 PV (M)4,158.804,198.744,238.67
Year 2 PV (M)4,197.544,278.534,360.31
Year 3 PV (M)4,220.444,343.184,468.29
Year 4 PV (M)4,229.084,393.864,563.42
Year 5 PV (M)4,224.914,431.684,646.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)64,069.0667,204.7370,461.98
Equity Value (M)85,099.8188,850.7392,739.15
Shares Outstanding (M)70.8170.8170.81
Fair Value$1,201.80$1,254.78$1,309.69
Upside / Downside-12.08%-8.21%-4.19%

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