Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shanghai Daimay Automotive Interior Co., Ltd (603730.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.74 - $15.69$9.88
Multi-Stage$5.22 - $5.68$5.45
Blended Fair Value$7.66
Current Price$5.90
Upside29.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.21%19.71%0.270.250.190.150.110.110.110.050.090.04
YoY Growth--9.13%31.70%22.24%40.38%-2.37%-0.59%127.59%-45.01%105.61%-1.89%
Dividend Yield--4.12%3.67%2.25%3.18%1.74%2.32%2.22%0.79%1.35%0.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)623.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)590.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)124.7777.9846.79
Cash Retained (M)33.1533.1533.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-124.77-77.98-46.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)-91.62-44.83-13.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,931.311,931.311,931.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.02-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.310.310.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.02-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.260.280.30
WACC / Discount Rate9.55%9.55%9.55%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6.74$9.88$15.69
Upside / Downside14.16%67.41%165.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)623.85664.40707.59753.58802.57854.73880.38
Payout Ratio94.69%93.75%92.81%91.87%90.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)590.70622.87656.73692.35729.83769.26814.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.55%9.55%9.55%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)563.25568.59573.93
Year 2 PV (M)537.01547.24557.57
Year 3 PV (M)511.95526.65541.62
Year 4 PV (M)488.00506.77526.08
Year 5 PV (M)465.13487.60510.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,520.277,883.508,260.63
Equity Value (M)10,085.6110,520.3410,970.74
Shares Outstanding (M)1,931.311,931.311,931.31
Fair Value$5.22$5.45$5.68
Upside / Downside-11.49%-7.67%-3.72%

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