Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Nantong Haixing Electronics Co., Ltd. (603115.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.62 - $37.47$24.11
Multi-Stage$12.68 - $13.81$13.24
Blended Fair Value$18.67
Current Price$18.94
Upside-1.42%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.24%20.45%0.480.730.730.630.640.430.270.210.010.01
YoY Growth---33.33%-0.24%14.65%-0.54%47.30%58.67%28.37%2,016.46%-1.94%-86.39%
Dividend Yield--3.35%5.83%4.14%2.97%4.25%2.53%1.86%1.45%0.07%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)203.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)143.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)60.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.8025.5015.30
Cash Retained (M)60.1160.1160.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.80-25.50-15.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.3134.6144.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)247.19247.19247.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.140.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.580.580.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.140.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.660.720.76
WACC / Discount Rate9.69%9.69%9.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$16.62$24.11$37.47
Upside / Downside-12.24%27.27%97.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)203.99217.25231.37246.41262.43279.48287.87
Payout Ratio70.53%74.43%78.32%82.21%86.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)143.88161.69181.21202.58225.97251.54266.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.69%9.69%9.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)146.03147.41148.79
Year 2 PV (M)147.79150.61153.45
Year 3 PV (M)149.21153.50157.86
Year 4 PV (M)150.31156.09162.03
Year 5 PV (M)151.10158.40165.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,390.902,506.392,626.29
Equity Value (M)3,135.353,272.393,414.41
Shares Outstanding (M)247.19247.19247.19
Fair Value$12.68$13.24$13.81
Upside / Downside-33.03%-30.10%-27.07%

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