DDM Analysis: 601800.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$23.91 - $53.68	$34.63
Multi-Stage	$32.64 - $35.77	$34.18
Blended Fair Value	$34.40
Current Price	$8.74
Upside	293.61%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	2.11%	-7.08%	0.44	0.22	0.20	0.18	0.23	0.39	0.34	1.10	1.04	1.09
YoY Growth	-	-	100.69%	6.56%	12.62%	-22.33%	-40.66%	14.14%	-68.60%	4.97%	-3.86%	19.51%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.76%	2.46%	1.93%	1.91%	3.28%	4.75%	2.71%	8.52%	5.83%	8.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	19,900.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	15,288.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)	4,611.63

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3,980.09	2,487.56	1,492.53
Cash Retained (M)	4,611.63	4,611.63	4,611.63
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3,980.09	-2,487.56	-1,492.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)	631.54	2,124.07	3,119.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	16,164.96	16,164.96	16,164.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.13	0.19
LTM Dividend per Share	0.95	0.95	0.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.13	0.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.98	1.08	1.14
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	2.21%	3.21%	4.21%
Fair Value	$23.91	$34.63	$53.68
Upside / Downside	173.53%	296.19%	514.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	19,900.45	20,539.14	21,198.34	21,878.69	22,580.87	23,305.60	24,004.76
Payout Ratio	76.83%	79.46%	82.10%	84.73%	87.37%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	15,288.82	16,320.65	17,402.97	18,537.95	19,727.85	20,975.04	22,204.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	2.21%	3.21%	4.21%
Year 1 PV (M)	15,187.46	15,336.05	15,484.64
Year 2 PV (M)	15,070.18	15,366.51	15,665.73
Year 3 PV (M)	14,938.41	15,381.18	15,832.61
Year 4 PV (M)	14,793.47	15,380.97	15,985.79
Year 5 PV (M)	14,636.61	15,366.77	16,125.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)	453,029.89	475,629.65	499,122.46
Equity Value (M)	527,656.01	552,461.12	578,217.02
Shares Outstanding (M)	16,164.96	16,164.96	16,164.96
Fair Value	$32.64	$34.18	$35.77
Upside / Downside	273.48%	291.03%	309.27%

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China Communications Construction Company Limited (601800.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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