DDM Analysis: 601216.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$9.36 - $24.88	$14.32
Multi-Stage	$6.53 - $7.13	$6.82
Blended Fair Value	$10.57
Current Price	$5.23
Upside	102.15%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	48.50%	26.36%	0.34	0.19	0.18	0.34	0.39	0.05	0.22	0.04	0.04	0.04
YoY Growth	-	-	75.16%	8.28%	-47.50%	-13.15%	735.00%	-79.32%	483.17%	-14.15%	16.43%	19.23%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.11%	5.14%	3.91%	7.34%	7.35%	1.89%	5.48%	0.80%	0.92%	0.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,362.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,380.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,981.45

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	672.45	420.28	252.17
Cash Retained (M)	1,981.45	1,981.45	1,981.45
(-) Cash Required (M)	-672.45	-420.28	-252.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,309.00	1,561.17	1,729.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	8,437.62	8,437.62	8,437.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.16	0.19	0.20
LTM Dividend per Share	0.16	0.16	0.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.16	0.19	0.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.32	0.35	0.37
WACC / Discount Rate	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$9.36	$14.32	$24.88
Upside / Downside	78.99%	173.84%	375.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,362.25	3,580.79	3,813.54	4,061.42	4,325.42	4,606.57	4,744.77
Payout Ratio	41.07%	50.85%	60.64%	70.43%	80.21%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,380.79	1,820.98	2,312.55	2,860.34	3,469.57	4,145.91	4,388.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,653.53	1,669.20	1,684.87
Year 2 PV (M)	1,906.80	1,943.12	1,979.78
Year 3 PV (M)	2,141.60	2,203.08	2,265.72
Year 4 PV (M)	2,358.86	2,449.58	2,542.89
Year 5 PV (M)	2,559.49	2,683.12	2,811.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)	44,470.80	46,618.76	48,848.92
Equity Value (M)	55,091.09	57,566.85	60,133.66
Shares Outstanding (M)	8,437.62	8,437.62	8,437.62
Fair Value	$6.53	$6.82	$7.13
Upside / Downside	24.84%	30.45%	36.27%

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Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical Group Co.,Ltd. (601216.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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