DDM Analysis: 601168.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$90.55 - $262.44	$245.94
Multi-Stage	$37.54 - $41.01	$39.24
Blended Fair Value	$142.59
Current Price	$22.00
Upside	548.15%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	12.37%	11.47%	0.78	1.68	0.20	0.12	0.10	0.43	0.41	0.27	0.30	0.27
YoY Growth	-	-	-53.65%	738.92%	66.67%	20.00%	-76.96%	5.19%	52.77%	-11.43%	11.77%	3.92%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.57%	8.79%	1.58%	0.87%	0.80%	7.65%	6.01%	3.98%	3.54%	4.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,144.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,827.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)	316.89

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	628.93	393.08	235.85
Cash Retained (M)	316.89	316.89	316.89
(-) Cash Required (M)	-628.93	-393.08	-235.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-312.04	-76.20	81.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,383.00	2,383.00	2,383.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.13	-0.03	0.03
LTM Dividend per Share	1.19	1.19	1.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.13	-0.03	0.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.06	1.15	1.22
WACC / Discount Rate	6.73%	6.73%	6.73%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$90.55	$245.94	$262.44
Upside / Downside	311.57%	1,017.93%	1,092.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,144.65	3,349.05	3,566.74	3,798.58	4,045.49	4,308.44	4,437.70
Payout Ratio	89.92%	89.94%	89.95%	89.97%	89.98%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,827.76	3,012.08	3,208.42	3,417.55	3,640.31	3,877.60	4,104.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.73%	6.73%	6.73%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	2,795.65	2,822.15	2,848.65
Year 2 PV (M)	2,763.91	2,816.55	2,869.69
Year 3 PV (M)	2,732.52	2,810.96	2,890.89
Year 4 PV (M)	2,701.49	2,805.38	2,912.24
Year 5 PV (M)	2,670.81	2,799.81	2,933.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)	75,799.41	79,460.55	83,261.81
Equity Value (M)	89,463.79	93,515.41	97,717.04
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,383.00	2,383.00	2,383.00
Fair Value	$37.54	$39.24	$41.01
Upside / Downside	70.65%	78.38%	86.39%

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Western Mining Co.,Ltd. (601168.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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