Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shanghai Jinjiang Shipping (Group) Co., Ltd. (601083.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.23 - $52.21$33.66
Multi-Stage$17.00 - $18.55$17.76
Blended Fair Value$25.71
Current Price$11.47
Upside124.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS190.11%0.00%0.400.590.620.100.160.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---31.92%-5.68%515.68%-35.03%7,899.63%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.22%5.98%5.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,486.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)528.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)957.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)297.25185.78111.47
Cash Retained (M)957.74957.74957.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-297.25-185.78-111.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)660.49771.96846.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,284.051,284.051,284.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.510.600.66
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.510.600.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.931.011.07
WACC / Discount Rate9.70%9.70%9.70%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$23.23$33.66$52.21
Upside / Downside102.56%193.45%355.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,486.271,582.881,685.771,795.341,912.042,036.322,097.41
Payout Ratio35.56%46.45%57.34%68.22%79.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)528.53735.22966.561,224.861,512.651,832.691,940.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.70%9.70%9.70%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)663.89670.18676.48
Year 2 PV (M)788.10803.11818.27
Year 3 PV (M)901.82927.71954.09
Year 4 PV (M)1,005.661,044.331,084.11
Year 5 PV (M)1,100.221,153.361,208.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,371.5418,210.5919,081.75
Equity Value (M)21,831.2322,809.2923,823.23
Shares Outstanding (M)1,284.051,284.051,284.05
Fair Value$17.00$17.76$18.55
Upside / Downside48.23%54.87%61.75%

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