Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

GD Power Development Co.,Ltd (600795.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Renewable UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.82 - $13.64$9.48
Multi-Stage$19.40 - $21.34$20.35
Blended Fair Value$14.91
Current Price$4.98
Upside199.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.44%-0.85%0.590.600.490.050.600.600.790.530.520.65
YoY Growth---0.91%22.03%940.45%-92.21%-0.23%-23.24%49.40%0.91%-19.41%0.63%
Dividend Yield--13.28%12.02%12.83%1.86%26.27%29.70%28.77%17.76%15.98%20.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,416.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,833.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)583.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,483.40927.12556.27
Cash Retained (M)583.60583.60583.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,483.40-927.12-556.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)-899.80-343.5227.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17,835.6217,835.6217,835.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.020.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.380.380.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.020.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.330.360.38
WACC / Discount Rate4.76%4.76%4.76%
Growth Rate-0.11%0.89%1.89%
Fair Value$6.82$9.48$13.64
Upside / Downside36.92%90.30%173.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,416.997,482.647,548.877,615.697,683.107,751.107,983.63
Payout Ratio92.13%91.71%91.28%90.85%90.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,833.396,861.976,890.536,919.056,947.546,975.997,384.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.76%4.76%4.76%
Growth Rate-0.11%0.89%1.89%
Year 1 PV (M)6,485.356,550.276,615.20
Year 2 PV (M)6,154.896,278.756,403.84
Year 3 PV (M)5,841.156,018.356,199.10
Year 4 PV (M)5,543.285,768.636,000.77
Year 5 PV (M)5,260.495,529.145,808.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)316,663.38332,835.34349,661.38
Equity Value (M)345,948.54362,980.49380,688.95
Shares Outstanding (M)17,835.6217,835.6217,835.62
Fair Value$19.40$20.35$21.34
Upside / Downside289.49%308.66%328.60%

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