DDM Analysis: 600572.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1.69 - $2.41	$2.05
Multi-Stage	$2.67 - $2.92	$2.80
Blended Fair Value	$2.42
Current Price	$4.35
Upside	-44.34%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.19%	9.18%	0.19	0.15	0.18	0.03	0.05	0.19	0.18	0.12	0.10	0.14
YoY Growth	-	-	24.61%	-14.32%	476.80%	-40.47%	-72.46%	6.81%	52.62%	12.65%	-24.29%	71.47%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.28%	3.14%	3.02%	0.63%	1.25%	3.68%	1.73%	1.66%	1.55%	1.92%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	687.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	382.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)	305.56

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	137.60	86.00	51.60
Cash Retained (M)	305.56	305.56	305.56
(-) Cash Required (M)	-137.60	-86.00	-51.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)	167.97	219.56	253.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,733.30	2,733.30	2,733.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.08	0.09
LTM Dividend per Share	0.14	0.14	0.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.08	0.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.20	0.22	0.23
WACC / Discount Rate	9.87%	9.87%	9.87%
Growth Rate	-1.81%	-0.81%	0.19%
Fair Value	$1.69	$2.05	$2.41
Upside / Downside	-61.06%	-52.95%	-44.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	687.99	682.45	676.94	671.48	666.07	660.70	680.52
Payout Ratio	55.59%	62.47%	69.35%	76.23%	83.12%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	382.43	426.32	469.47	511.90	553.62	594.63	629.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.87%	9.87%	9.87%
Growth Rate	-1.81%	-0.81%	0.19%
Year 1 PV (M)	384.12	388.03	391.94
Year 2 PV (M)	381.13	388.93	396.81
Year 3 PV (M)	374.44	386.00	397.79
Year 4 PV (M)	364.87	379.96	395.52
Year 5 PV (M)	353.11	371.46	390.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)	5,443.49	5,726.38	6,020.90
Equity Value (M)	7,301.16	7,640.76	7,993.53
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,733.30	2,733.30	2,733.30
Fair Value	$2.67	$2.80	$2.92
Upside / Downside	-38.59%	-35.74%	-32.77%

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Zhejiang CONBA Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (600572.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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