Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Yutong Bus Co.,Ltd. (600066.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$43.31 - $93.97$61.99
Multi-Stage$33.40 - $36.37$34.86
Blended Fair Value$48.42
Current Price$27.21
Upside77.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS30.51%17.14%2.001.010.500.501.020.530.591.061.540.71
YoY Growth--98.22%101.80%0.00%-51.22%94.04%-10.25%-44.30%-31.39%116.02%73.33%
Dividend Yield--7.54%4.79%4.05%5.94%7.14%3.86%4.22%4.72%7.16%3.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,976.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,328.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,647.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)995.34622.09373.25
Cash Retained (M)1,647.901,647.901,647.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-995.34-622.09-373.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)652.571,025.821,274.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,215.602,215.602,215.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.460.58
LTM Dividend per Share1.501.501.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.460.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.801.972.08
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$43.31$61.99$93.97
Upside / Downside59.18%127.81%245.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,976.695,300.185,644.696,011.596,402.356,818.507,023.05
Payout Ratio66.89%71.51%76.13%80.76%85.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,328.793,790.164,297.444,854.665,466.166,136.656,496.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,417.073,449.463,481.85
Year 2 PV (M)3,493.043,559.573,626.73
Year 3 PV (M)3,557.533,659.663,763.72
Year 4 PV (M)3,611.353,750.233,893.08
Year 5 PV (M)3,655.233,831.784,015.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)56,268.0358,985.8061,807.58
Equity Value (M)74,002.2577,236.5080,588.04
Shares Outstanding (M)2,215.602,215.602,215.60
Fair Value$33.40$34.86$36.37
Upside / Downside22.75%28.12%33.67%

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