Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

DKSH Holdings (Malaysia) Berhad (5908.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Food DistributionSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.16 - $26.99$19.33
Multi-Stage$17.45 - $19.14$18.28
Blended Fair Value$18.80
Current Price$4.86
Upside286.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.20%-2.76%0.170.320.110.100.000.100.100.100.100.10
YoY Growth---46.87%190.91%10.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%5.26%0.00%0.00%-57.78%
Dividend Yield--3.43%6.78%2.34%2.05%0.00%5.08%4.27%2.47%2.03%2.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)143.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)113.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.6317.8910.74
Cash Retained (M)113.19113.19113.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.63-17.89-10.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)84.5695.29102.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)157.66157.66157.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.540.600.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.190.190.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.540.600.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.730.790.84
WACC / Discount Rate7.47%7.47%7.47%
Growth Rate2.23%3.23%4.23%
Fair Value$14.16$19.33$26.99
Upside / Downside191.41%297.70%455.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)143.14147.77152.54157.47162.55167.80172.84
Payout Ratio20.93%34.74%48.56%62.37%76.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.9651.3474.0798.21123.84151.02159.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.47%7.47%7.47%
Growth Rate2.23%3.23%4.23%
Year 1 PV (M)47.3047.7748.23
Year 2 PV (M)62.8964.1265.37
Year 3 PV (M)76.8479.1281.44
Year 4 PV (M)89.2892.8396.47
Year 5 PV (M)100.32105.33110.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,374.262,492.682,615.77
Equity Value (M)2,750.892,881.843,017.82
Shares Outstanding (M)157.66157.66157.66
Fair Value$17.45$18.28$19.14
Upside / Downside259.02%276.11%293.86%

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