Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

POYA International Co., Ltd. (5904.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$792.50 - $2,996.55$1,334.27
Multi-Stage$525.32 - $572.84$548.66
Blended Fair Value$941.47
Current Price$497.03
Upside89.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.15%17.16%20.5023.0310.4617.2315.7514.5111.989.747.916.57
YoY Growth---11.01%120.12%-39.26%9.36%8.57%21.15%23.02%23.12%20.39%56.17%
Dividend Yield--4.33%4.77%1.89%4.61%2.83%3.63%3.52%2.83%2.40%2.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,892.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,173.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)719.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)578.49361.55216.93
Cash Retained (M)719.08719.08719.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-578.49-361.55-216.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)140.59357.52502.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)106.03106.03106.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.333.374.74
LTM Dividend per Share20.5020.5020.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.333.374.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend21.8223.8725.23
WACC / Discount Rate8.41%8.41%8.41%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$792.50$1,334.27$2,996.55
Upside / Downside59.45%168.45%502.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,892.433,080.443,280.663,493.913,721.013,962.884,081.76
Payout Ratio75.14%78.11%81.08%84.06%87.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,173.352,406.172,660.082,936.833,238.323,566.593,775.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.41%8.41%8.41%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,198.772,219.612,240.45
Year 2 PV (M)2,221.262,263.572,306.28
Year 3 PV (M)2,240.972,305.302,370.85
Year 4 PV (M)2,258.032,344.872,434.18
Year 5 PV (M)2,272.562,382.332,496.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)44,507.8246,657.5748,889.59
Equity Value (M)55,699.4258,173.2460,737.65
Shares Outstanding (M)106.03106.03106.03
Fair Value$525.32$548.66$572.84
Upside / Downside5.69%10.39%15.25%

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