Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Primax Electronics Ltd. (4915.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$44.66 - $65.43$54.67
Multi-Stage$70.39 - $77.01$73.64
Blended Fair Value$64.15
Current Price$72.90
Upside-12.00%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.69%18.23%3.943.813.002.882.292.373.042.361.971.68
YoY Growth--3.34%26.97%4.16%25.82%-3.38%-22.07%28.62%19.82%17.30%127.92%
Dividend Yield--4.75%4.60%4.97%5.53%3.60%6.14%5.07%3.80%3.96%4.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,721.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,851.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)869.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)544.28340.18204.11
Cash Retained (M)869.69869.69869.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-544.28-340.18-204.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)325.40529.51665.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)470.54470.54470.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.691.131.41
LTM Dividend per Share3.943.943.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.691.131.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.635.065.35
WACC / Discount Rate9.36%9.36%9.36%
Growth Rate-0.91%0.09%1.09%
Fair Value$44.66$54.67$65.43
Upside / Downside-38.73%-25.01%-10.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,721.412,723.972,726.522,729.082,731.642,734.212,816.23
Payout Ratio68.04%72.43%76.83%81.22%85.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,851.731,973.092,094.672,216.482,338.522,460.792,605.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.36%9.36%9.36%
Growth Rate-0.91%0.09%1.09%
Year 1 PV (M)1,786.201,804.221,822.25
Year 2 PV (M)1,716.661,751.481,786.65
Year 3 PV (M)1,644.431,694.721,746.02
Year 4 PV (M)1,570.641,635.011,701.33
Year 5 PV (M)1,496.211,573.251,653.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,907.3026,189.6727,524.33
Equity Value (M)33,121.4434,648.3536,234.01
Shares Outstanding (M)470.54470.54470.54
Fair Value$70.39$73.64$77.01
Upside / Downside-3.44%1.01%5.63%

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