DDM Analysis: 4887.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$703.32 - $1,057.07	$870.70
Multi-Stage	$1,257.23 - $1,378.80	$1,316.85
Blended Fair Value	$1,093.77
Current Price	$2,004.50
Upside	-45.43%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.54%	5.15%	50.87	47.72	47.71	47.71	47.70	49.53	47.69	40.17	40.17	33.94
YoY Growth	-	-	6.60%	0.02%	0.00%	0.02%	-3.69%	3.85%	18.74%	0.00%	18.35%	10.23%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.78%	2.15%	3.95%	3.48%	2.89%	2.73%	2.63%	2.21%	2.21%	1.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	9,883.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	6,340.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,543.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,976.60	1,235.38	741.23
Cash Retained (M)	3,543.00	3,543.00	3,543.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,976.60	-1,235.38	-741.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,566.40	2,307.63	2,801.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	119.33	119.33	119.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share	13.13	19.34	23.48
LTM Dividend per Share	53.13	53.13	53.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share	13.13	19.34	23.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend	66.26	72.47	76.61
WACC / Discount Rate	8.00%	8.00%	8.00%
Growth Rate	-1.30%	-0.30%	0.70%
Fair Value	$703.32	$870.70	$1,057.07
Upside / Downside	-64.91%	-56.56%	-47.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	9,883.00	9,853.44	9,823.96	9,794.57	9,765.28	9,736.06	10,028.15
Payout Ratio	64.15%	69.32%	74.49%	79.66%	84.83%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	6,340.00	6,830.45	7,317.90	7,802.38	8,283.89	8,762.46	9,276.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.00%	8.00%	8.00%
Growth Rate	-1.30%	-0.30%	0.70%
Year 1 PV (M)	6,261.11	6,324.55	6,387.98
Year 2 PV (M)	6,148.81	6,274.04	6,400.53
Year 3 PV (M)	6,009.44	6,193.95	6,382.21
Year 4 PV (M)	5,848.49	6,089.14	6,337.13
Year 5 PV (M)	5,670.71	5,963.86	6,269.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)	120,085.86	126,293.70	132,755.67
Equity Value (M)	150,024.43	157,139.24	164,532.52
Shares Outstanding (M)	119.33	119.33	119.33
Fair Value	$1,257.23	$1,316.85	$1,378.80
Upside / Downside	-37.28%	-34.31%	-31.21%

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Sawai Group Holdings Co., Ltd. (4887.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener