Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Digital Garage, Inc. (4819.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$540.29 - $792.83$661.82
Multi-Stage$1,004.57 - $1,101.20$1,051.95
Blended Fair Value$856.89
Current Price$3,615.00
Upside-76.30%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.00%23.26%41.2237.0835.8432.0838.0428.0523.3520.5230.6325.57
YoY Growth--11.15%3.46%11.74%-15.68%35.61%20.13%13.79%-33.01%19.81%402.19%
Dividend Yield--0.87%1.49%0.93%0.87%0.76%0.82%0.65%0.48%1.45%1.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,232.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,428.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)804.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)646.40404.00242.40
Cash Retained (M)804.00804.00804.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-646.40-404.00-242.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)157.60400.00561.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)45.9545.9545.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.438.7012.22
LTM Dividend per Share52.8452.8452.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.438.7012.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend56.2761.5465.06
WACC / Discount Rate8.21%8.21%8.21%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$540.29$661.82$792.83
Upside / Downside-85.05%-81.69%-78.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,232.003,199.683,167.683,136.013,104.653,073.603,165.81
Payout Ratio75.12%78.10%81.07%84.05%87.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,428.002,498.922,568.182,635.802,701.812,766.242,928.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.21%8.21%8.21%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,286.082,309.412,332.74
Year 2 PV (M)2,149.342,193.432,237.96
Year 3 PV (M)2,018.052,080.462,144.15
Year 4 PV (M)1,892.411,970.842,051.69
Year 5 PV (M)1,772.521,864.821,960.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)36,044.3537,921.2739,875.57
Equity Value (M)46,162.7648,340.2350,603.03
Shares Outstanding (M)45.9545.9545.95
Fair Value$1,004.57$1,051.95$1,101.20
Upside / Downside-72.21%-70.90%-69.54%

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