Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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YTL Corporation Berhad (4677.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Diversified UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.87 - $32.60$30.55
Multi-Stage$6.62 - $7.26$6.93
Blended Fair Value$18.74
Current Price$2.32
Upside707.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.09%-6.61%0.040.040.030.020.040.040.040.050.090.09
YoY Growth--13.28%33.34%20.00%-35.77%0.00%0.95%-19.75%-47.33%1.04%0.53%
Dividend Yield--1.89%1.54%1.91%4.17%6.17%5.76%4.19%3.87%6.84%5.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,880.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)496.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,383.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)376.05235.03141.02
Cash Retained (M)1,383.451,383.451,383.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-376.05-235.03-141.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,007.401,148.421,242.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11,339.7711,339.7711,339.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.100.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.100.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.150.15
WACC / Discount Rate5.45%5.45%5.45%
Growth Rate4.28%5.28%6.28%
Fair Value$11.87$30.55$32.60
Upside / Downside411.49%1,216.82%1,305.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,880.271,979.622,084.222,194.352,310.292,432.362,505.33
Payout Ratio26.42%39.14%51.85%64.57%77.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)496.82774.791,080.751,416.871,785.502,189.132,317.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.45%5.45%5.45%
Growth Rate4.28%5.28%6.28%
Year 1 PV (M)727.77734.75741.73
Year 2 PV (M)953.55971.93990.48
Year 3 PV (M)1,174.251,208.361,243.12
Year 4 PV (M)1,389.961,444.051,499.70
Year 5 PV (M)1,600.751,678.991,760.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)69,179.8472,560.9676,073.02
Equity Value (M)75,026.1378,599.0482,308.30
Shares Outstanding (M)11,339.7711,339.7711,339.77
Fair Value$6.62$6.93$7.26
Upside / Downside185.18%198.76%212.86%

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