Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Kenturn Nano. Tec. Co., Ltd. (4561.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.13 - $11.98$9.98
Multi-Stage$15.75 - $17.25$16.49
Blended Fair Value$13.23
Current Price$44.85
Upside-70.50%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%1.000.700.900.900.251.000.640.160.130.00
YoY Growth--42.86%-22.22%0.00%260.01%-75.00%55.71%295.08%23.74%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.88%2.02%4.01%3.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)60.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)58.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.137.584.55
Cash Retained (M)2.122.122.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.13-7.58-4.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)-10.01-5.46-2.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)58.3858.3858.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.17-0.09-0.04
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.17-0.09-0.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.830.910.96
WACC / Discount Rate8.02%8.02%8.02%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$8.13$9.98$11.98
Upside / Downside-81.88%-77.76%-73.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)60.6560.0459.4458.8458.2657.6759.40
Payout Ratio96.50%95.20%93.90%92.60%91.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)58.5257.1655.8154.4953.1951.9154.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.02%8.02%8.02%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)52.3852.9153.45
Year 2 PV (M)46.8747.8348.80
Year 3 PV (M)41.9343.2344.55
Year 4 PV (M)37.5139.0640.67
Year 5 PV (M)33.5535.2937.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)707.25744.08782.43
Equity Value (M)919.49962.411,007.01
Shares Outstanding (M)58.3858.3858.38
Fair Value$15.75$16.49$17.25
Upside / Downside-64.88%-63.24%-61.54%

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