DDM Analysis: 4204.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2,775.79 - $5,382.49	$3,813.02
Multi-Stage	$2,573.18 - $2,809.91	$2,689.39
Blended Fair Value	$3,251.21
Current Price	$2,755.00
Upside	18.01%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	8.45%	9.62%	76.71	66.85	57.21	51.72	50.33	51.13	47.33	43.56	37.32	33.20
YoY Growth	-	-	14.75%	16.85%	10.61%	2.77%	-1.57%	8.02%	8.67%	16.71%	12.43%	8.45%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.94%	3.00%	2.76%	2.79%	2.65%	3.32%	2.84%	2.31%	1.86%	2.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	70,721.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	33,106.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	37,615.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	14,144.20	8,840.13	5,304.08
Cash Retained (M)	37,615.00	37,615.00	37,615.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-14,144.20	-8,840.13	-5,304.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)	23,470.80	28,774.88	32,310.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	416.31	416.31	416.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share	56.38	69.12	77.61
LTM Dividend per Share	79.52	79.52	79.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share	56.38	69.12	77.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend	135.90	148.64	157.14
WACC / Discount Rate	9.24%	9.24%	9.24%
Growth Rate	4.14%	5.14%	6.14%
Fair Value	$2,775.79	$3,813.02	$5,382.49
Upside / Downside	0.75%	38.40%	95.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	70,721.00	74,355.98	78,177.78	82,196.03	86,420.81	90,862.74	93,588.62
Payout Ratio	46.81%	55.45%	64.09%	72.72%	81.36%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	33,106.00	41,230.16	50,102.01	59,776.94	70,314.06	81,776.46	86,569.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.24%	9.24%	9.24%
Growth Rate	4.14%	5.14%	6.14%
Year 1 PV (M)	37,384.27	37,743.25	38,102.23
Year 2 PV (M)	41,191.05	41,985.92	42,788.39
Year 3 PV (M)	44,561.03	45,857.09	47,178.03
Year 4 PV (M)	47,526.70	49,378.66	51,284.22
Year 5 PV (M)	50,118.45	52,571.41	55,119.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)	850,459.67	892,083.99	935,322.37
Equity Value (M)	1,071,241.17	1,119,620.31	1,169,794.73
Shares Outstanding (M)	416.31	416.31	416.31
Fair Value	$2,573.18	$2,689.39	$2,809.91
Upside / Downside	-6.60%	-2.38%	1.99%

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Financial Statements

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Ticker

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Sector

Sekisui Chemical Co., Ltd. (4204.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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