DDM Analysis: 4165.SR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$56.69 - $83.38	$69.51
Multi-Stage	$107.22 - $117.50	$112.26
Blended Fair Value	$90.89
Current Price	$148.10
Upside	-38.63%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	5.00	1.58	3.92	4.72	2.92	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	216.46%	-59.69%	-16.95%	61.64%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.65%	1.29%	3.21%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	182.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	150.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	32.68

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	36.54	22.84	13.70
Cash Retained (M)	32.68	32.68	32.68
(-) Cash Required (M)	-36.54	-22.84	-13.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-3.85	9.85	18.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	24.99	24.99	24.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.15	0.39	0.76
LTM Dividend per Share	6.00	6.00	6.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.15	0.39	0.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.85	6.40	6.76
WACC / Discount Rate	8.11%	8.11%	8.11%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$56.69	$69.51	$83.38
Upside / Downside	-61.72%	-53.07%	-43.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	182.68	180.86	179.05	177.26	175.48	173.73	178.94
Payout Ratio	82.11%	83.69%	85.27%	86.84%	88.42%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	150.00	151.35	152.67	153.94	155.17	156.36	165.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.11%	8.11%	8.11%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	138.59	140.00	141.42
Year 2 PV (M)	128.00	130.62	133.28
Year 3 PV (M)	118.18	121.83	125.56
Year 4 PV (M)	109.07	113.60	118.25
Year 5 PV (M)	100.64	105.88	111.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,085.50	2,194.10	2,307.17
Equity Value (M)	2,679.98	2,806.03	2,937.02
Shares Outstanding (M)	24.99	24.99	24.99
Fair Value	$107.22	$112.26	$117.50
Upside / Downside	-27.60%	-24.20%	-20.66%

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Al Majed Oud Co. (4165.SR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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