DDM Analysis: 4007.SR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$21.87 - $38.22	$28.85
Multi-Stage	$31.70 - $34.69	$33.17
Blended Fair Value	$31.01
Current Price	$34.42
Upside	-9.92%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	1.40	1.04	1.24	0.82	0.00	0.00	0.56	0.00	0.56	0.47
YoY Growth	-	-	34.52%	-16.04%	51.17%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	20.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.40%	1.80%	2.55%	2.42%	0.00%	0.00%	3.00%	0.00%	1.84%	1.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	265.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	223.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)	41.78

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	53.11	33.19	19.92
Cash Retained (M)	41.78	41.78	41.78
(-) Cash Required (M)	-53.11	-33.19	-19.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-11.33	8.59	21.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	160.26	160.26	160.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.07	0.05	0.14
LTM Dividend per Share	1.40	1.40	1.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.07	0.05	0.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.33	1.45	1.53
WACC / Discount Rate	7.59%	7.59%	7.59%
Growth Rate	1.45%	2.45%	3.45%
Fair Value	$21.87	$28.85	$38.22
Upside / Downside	-36.46%	-16.19%	11.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	265.55	272.04	278.70	285.51	292.50	299.65	308.64
Payout Ratio	84.27%	85.41%	86.56%	87.71%	88.85%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	223.77	232.36	241.24	250.42	259.90	269.69	285.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.59%	7.59%	7.59%
Growth Rate	1.45%	2.45%	3.45%
Year 1 PV (M)	213.85	215.96	218.07
Year 2 PV (M)	204.34	208.38	212.47
Year 3 PV (M)	195.21	201.04	206.99
Year 4 PV (M)	186.46	193.92	201.61
Year 5 PV (M)	178.08	187.03	196.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,102.60	4,308.83	4,523.27
Equity Value (M)	5,080.53	5,315.16	5,558.74
Shares Outstanding (M)	160.26	160.26	160.26
Fair Value	$31.70	$33.17	$34.69
Upside / Downside	-7.90%	-3.64%	0.77%

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Al Hammadi Holding Company (4007.SR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener