Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Oriental Holdings Berhad (4006.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - DealershipsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.26 - $4.75$3.98
Multi-Stage$6.01 - $6.57$6.28
Blended Fair Value$5.13
Current Price$6.83
Upside-24.85%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-2.76%0.00%0.400.400.600.200.080.460.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-33.33%200.00%150.00%-82.61%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.65%6.33%9.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)271.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)248.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)23.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)54.3233.9520.37
Cash Retained (M)23.4523.4523.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-54.32-33.95-20.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)-30.87-10.503.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)620.36620.36620.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.020.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.020.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.350.380.40
WACC / Discount Rate8.53%8.53%8.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.26$3.98$4.75
Upside / Downside-52.26%-41.72%-30.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)271.59268.88266.19263.53260.89258.28266.03
Payout Ratio91.37%91.09%90.82%90.55%90.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)248.14244.93241.75238.61235.52232.45246.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.53%8.53%8.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)223.40225.68227.96
Year 2 PV (M)201.13205.25209.42
Year 3 PV (M)181.07186.67192.38
Year 4 PV (M)163.01169.77176.73
Year 5 PV (M)146.75154.40162.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,810.452,956.803,109.18
Equity Value (M)3,725.823,898.574,078.03
Shares Outstanding (M)620.36620.36620.36
Fair Value$6.01$6.28$6.57
Upside / Downside-12.07%-7.99%-3.75%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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