Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Raydium Semiconductor Corporation (3592.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,023.76 - $4,353.98$2,534.70
Multi-Stage$529.74 - $578.62$553.73
Blended Fair Value$1,544.22
Current Price$366.00
Upside321.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS20.44%0.00%15.0240.5344.489.166.985.930.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---62.93%-8.89%385.67%31.24%17.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.43%8.44%10.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,680.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,153.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)527.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)336.03210.02126.01
Cash Retained (M)527.13527.13527.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-336.03-210.02-126.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)191.10317.11401.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)76.7476.7476.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.494.135.23
LTM Dividend per Share15.0215.0215.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.494.135.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend17.5119.1620.25
WACC / Discount Rate7.30%7.30%7.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,023.76$2,534.70$4,353.98
Upside / Downside179.72%592.54%1,089.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,680.131,789.341,905.642,029.512,161.432,301.922,370.98
Payout Ratio68.63%72.90%77.18%81.45%85.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,153.001,304.441,470.691,653.041,852.892,071.732,193.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.30%7.30%7.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,204.221,215.631,227.05
Year 2 PV (M)1,253.391,277.271,301.36
Year 3 PV (M)1,300.571,337.901,375.95
Year 4 PV (M)1,345.801,397.561,450.80
Year 5 PV (M)1,389.151,456.251,525.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)34,160.4535,810.4137,523.52
Equity Value (M)40,653.5842,495.0244,404.59
Shares Outstanding (M)76.7476.7476.74
Fair Value$529.74$553.73$578.62
Upside / Downside44.74%51.29%58.09%

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