Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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IGIS RESIDENCE REIT Co., Ltd. (350520.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - ResidentialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,129.53 - $4,647.80$3,853.98
Multi-Stage$5,812.34 - $6,393.19$6,097.08
Blended Fair Value$4,975.53
Current Price$3,875.00
Upside28.40%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%115.38204.61176.6273.7672.640.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---43.61%15.85%139.46%1.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.83%5.06%4.98%1.76%1.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14,318.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,253.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)10,064.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,863.601,789.751,073.85
Cash Retained (M)10,064.2110,064.2110,064.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,863.60-1,789.75-1,073.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,200.618,274.468,990.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.8736.8736.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share195.31224.44243.86
LTM Dividend per Share115.38115.38115.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share195.31224.44243.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend310.69339.82359.24
WACC / Discount Rate7.73%7.73%7.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3,129.53$3,853.98$4,647.80
Upside / Downside-19.24%-0.54%19.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14,318.0114,174.8314,033.0813,892.7513,753.8213,616.2814,024.77
Payout Ratio29.71%41.77%53.83%65.88%77.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,253.795,920.477,553.399,153.0610,719.9912,254.6512,972.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.73%7.73%7.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5,440.195,495.705,551.21
Year 2 PV (M)6,377.606,508.426,640.57
Year 3 PV (M)7,101.337,320.947,545.04
Year 4 PV (M)7,642.317,959.058,285.54
Year 5 PV (M)8,027.678,445.698,880.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)179,697.86189,055.14198,798.23
Equity Value (M)214,286.96224,784.95235,701.53
Shares Outstanding (M)36.8736.8736.87
Fair Value$5,812.34$6,097.08$6,393.19
Upside / Downside50.00%57.34%64.99%

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