Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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JNBY Design Limited (3306.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$337.34 - $663.63$621.92
Multi-Stage$105.52 - $115.36$110.35
Blended Fair Value$366.13
Current Price$15.78
Upside2,220.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS23.42%50.86%1.211.390.751.170.760.420.660.670.440.45
YoY Growth---13.37%85.40%-35.98%54.63%80.10%-35.72%-1.82%51.43%-1.61%2,168.08%
Dividend Yield--7.64%9.75%9.56%15.33%6.61%5.95%5.05%4.40%7.83%7.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,741.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,355.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)385.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)348.35217.72130.63
Cash Retained (M)385.84385.84385.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-348.35-217.72-130.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)37.49168.12255.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)521.96521.96521.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.320.49
LTM Dividend per Share2.602.602.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.320.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.672.923.09
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$337.34$621.92$663.63
Upside / Downside2,037.76%3,841.19%4,105.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,741.741,854.951,975.522,103.932,240.692,386.332,457.92
Payout Ratio77.85%80.28%82.71%85.14%87.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,355.901,489.121,633.931,791.271,962.162,147.702,273.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,387.261,400.411,413.55
Year 2 PV (M)1,418.031,445.041,472.31
Year 3 PV (M)1,448.241,489.821,532.18
Year 4 PV (M)1,477.891,534.731,593.19
Year 5 PV (M)1,506.981,579.771,655.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,837.1550,147.7152,546.69
Equity Value (M)55,075.5657,597.4760,213.26
Shares Outstanding (M)521.96521.96521.96
Fair Value$105.52$110.35$115.36
Upside / Downside568.68%599.30%631.05%

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