Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Winstek Semiconductor Co., Ltd. (3265.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$71.40 - $128.10$95.18
Multi-Stage$74.85 - $81.49$78.11
Blended Fair Value$86.64
Current Price$94.40
Upside-8.22%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS31.95%0.00%4.794.992.291.231.501.200.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---4.00%117.39%87.09%-18.04%25.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.12%3.81%3.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)684.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)654.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)30.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)136.9985.6251.37
Cash Retained (M)30.8930.8930.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-136.99-85.62-51.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)-106.10-54.73-20.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)136.60136.60136.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.78-0.40-0.15
LTM Dividend per Share4.794.794.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.78-0.40-0.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.014.394.64
WACC / Discount Rate9.59%9.59%9.59%
Growth Rate3.76%4.76%5.76%
Fair Value$71.40$95.18$128.10
Upside / Downside-24.36%0.82%35.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)684.95717.57751.74787.55825.05864.35890.28
Payout Ratio95.49%94.39%93.29%92.20%91.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)654.06677.33701.33726.09751.61777.91823.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.59%9.59%9.59%
Growth Rate3.76%4.76%5.76%
Year 1 PV (M)612.14618.04623.94
Year 2 PV (M)572.84583.94595.14
Year 3 PV (M)535.99551.63567.58
Year 4 PV (M)501.43521.04541.23
Year 5 PV (M)469.04492.08516.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,532.267,902.288,286.70
Equity Value (M)10,223.7110,669.0211,130.61
Shares Outstanding (M)136.60136.60136.60
Fair Value$74.85$78.11$81.49
Upside / Downside-20.71%-17.26%-13.68%

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