Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Universal Vision Biotechnology Co., Ltd. (3218.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$365.21 - $2,077.04$688.48
Multi-Stage$221.11 - $241.30$231.02
Blended Fair Value$459.75
Current Price$202.00
Upside127.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS44.19%0.00%6.985.644.483.761.791.120.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--23.67%26.00%19.05%110.00%60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.52%2.04%1.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)887.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)635.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)252.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)177.57110.9866.59
Cash Retained (M)252.42252.42252.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-177.57-110.98-66.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)74.85141.43185.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)85.0185.0185.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.881.662.19
LTM Dividend per Share7.477.477.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.881.662.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.369.149.66
WACC / Discount Rate7.91%7.91%7.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$365.21$688.48$2,077.04
Upside / Downside80.80%240.83%928.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)887.85945.561,007.031,072.481,142.191,216.441,252.93
Payout Ratio71.57%75.26%78.94%82.63%86.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)635.44711.59794.97886.17985.871,094.791,158.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.91%7.91%7.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)653.22659.41665.60
Year 2 PV (M)669.89682.65695.53
Year 3 PV (M)685.48705.16725.21
Year 4 PV (M)700.05726.97754.66
Year 5 PV (M)713.62748.08783.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,374.4716,117.0616,888.08
Equity Value (M)18,796.7319,639.3420,512.95
Shares Outstanding (M)85.0185.0185.01
Fair Value$221.11$231.02$241.30
Upside / Downside9.46%14.37%19.45%

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