DDM Analysis: 3167.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,169.07 - $2,150.07	$1,573.66
Multi-Stage	$1,530.47 - $1,677.46	$1,602.58
Blended Fair Value	$1,588.12
Current Price	$1,041.00
Upside	52.56%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	3.94%	12.38%	34.14	32.14	33.15	31.15	28.14	28.14	28.10	30.56	16.51	10.65
YoY Growth	-	-	6.24%	-3.05%	6.41%	10.71%	0.00%	0.14%	-8.04%	85.08%	55.03%	0.22%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.44%	3.29%	3.68%	3.51%	3.11%	2.83%	3.01%	2.85%	1.97%	1.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	10,439.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	4,460.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5,979.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2,087.80	1,304.88	782.93
Cash Retained (M)	5,979.00	5,979.00	5,979.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2,087.80	-1,304.88	-782.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)	3,891.20	4,674.13	5,196.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	130.71	130.71	130.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share	29.77	35.76	39.75
LTM Dividend per Share	34.12	34.12	34.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share	29.77	35.76	39.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend	63.89	69.88	73.87
WACC / Discount Rate	7.52%	7.52%	7.52%
Growth Rate	1.94%	2.94%	3.94%
Fair Value	$1,169.07	$1,573.66	$2,150.07
Upside / Downside	12.30%	51.17%	106.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	10,439.00	10,746.41	11,062.88	11,388.67	11,724.05	12,069.31	12,431.39
Payout Ratio	42.72%	52.18%	61.63%	71.09%	80.54%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	4,460.00	5,607.43	6,818.57	8,096.18	9,443.12	10,862.38	11,499.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.52%	7.52%	7.52%
Growth Rate	1.94%	2.94%	3.94%
Year 1 PV (M)	5,164.76	5,215.42	5,266.08
Year 2 PV (M)	5,784.50	5,898.54	6,013.69
Year 3 PV (M)	6,326.14	6,514.13	6,705.82
Year 4 PV (M)	6,796.11	7,066.72	7,345.33
Year 5 PV (M)	7,200.39	7,560.54	7,934.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)	168,774.63	177,216.37	185,992.56
Equity Value (M)	200,046.52	209,471.72	219,258.44
Shares Outstanding (M)	130.71	130.71	130.71
Fair Value	$1,530.47	$1,602.58	$1,677.46
Upside / Downside	47.02%	53.95%	61.14%

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TOKAI Holdings Corporation (3167.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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