Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Apex Science & Engineering Corp. (3052.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.16 - $19.63$15.53
Multi-Stage$81.31 - $90.12$85.62
Blended Fair Value$50.57
Current Price$11.20
Upside351.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-8.02%0.390.390.240.780.500.000.700.310.510.41
YoY Growth--2.00%58.41%-68.75%57.18%0.00%-100.00%125.19%-39.42%23.83%-54.68%
Dividend Yield--3.25%2.93%2.30%7.90%3.91%0.00%8.59%3.63%6.12%4.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)245.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)103.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)142.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)49.0830.6718.40
Cash Retained (M)142.20142.20142.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-49.08-30.67-18.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)93.12111.52123.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)205.36205.36205.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.450.540.60
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.450.540.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.961.051.11
WACC / Discount Rate2.22%2.22%2.22%
Growth Rate-5.23%-4.23%-3.23%
Fair Value$12.16$15.53$19.63
Upside / Downside8.59%38.63%75.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)245.39235.02225.09215.58206.47197.75203.68
Payout Ratio42.05%51.64%61.23%70.82%80.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)103.19121.37137.83152.68166.02177.97188.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.22%2.22%2.22%
Growth Rate-5.23%-4.23%-3.23%
Year 1 PV (M)117.49118.73119.97
Year 2 PV (M)129.15131.89134.66
Year 3 PV (M)138.49142.92147.45
Year 4 PV (M)145.79152.04158.49
Year 5 PV (M)151.28159.43167.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,014.9316,877.8417,777.55
Equity Value (M)16,697.1317,582.8618,506.05
Shares Outstanding (M)205.36205.36205.36
Fair Value$81.31$85.62$90.12
Upside / Downside625.97%664.47%704.61%

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