DDM Analysis: 3034.KL

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1.37 - $1.92	$1.65
Multi-Stage	$4.27 - $4.71	$4.48
Blended Fair Value	$3.06
Current Price	$2.53
Upside	21.14%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-8.56%	-2.03%	0.22	0.25	0.30	0.35	0.25	0.35	0.35	0.35	0.34	0.26
YoY Growth	-	-	-10.51%	-16.67%	-14.29%	40.00%	-28.57%	0.00%	0.00%	1.59%	32.79%	-5.57%
Dividend Yield	-	-	8.16%	5.58%	5.88%	4.68%	2.99%	4.59%	3.57%	3.55%	3.83%	3.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	588.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	528.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)	59.70

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	117.69	73.55	44.13
Cash Retained (M)	59.70	59.70	59.70
(-) Cash Required (M)	-117.69	-73.55	-44.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-57.98	-13.85	15.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,489.67	2,489.67	2,489.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	-0.01	0.01
LTM Dividend per Share	0.21	0.21	0.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	-0.01	0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.19	0.21	0.22
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	-6.52%	-5.52%	-4.52%
Fair Value	$1.37	$1.65	$1.92
Upside / Downside	-45.70%	-34.91%	-24.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	588.43	555.94	525.25	496.25	468.86	442.97	456.26
Payout Ratio	89.85%	89.88%	89.91%	89.94%	89.97%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	528.73	499.70	472.27	446.34	421.83	398.68	422.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	-6.52%	-5.52%	-4.52%
Year 1 PV (M)	464.92	469.89	474.86
Year 2 PV (M)	408.81	417.60	426.49
Year 3 PV (M)	359.47	371.13	383.04
Year 4 PV (M)	316.09	329.83	344.02
Year 5 PV (M)	277.94	293.13	308.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)	8,798.93	9,279.74	9,781.35
Equity Value (M)	10,626.15	11,161.32	11,718.73
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,489.67	2,489.67	2,489.67
Fair Value	$4.27	$4.48	$4.71
Upside / Downside	68.70%	77.20%	86.05%

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Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad (3034.KL)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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