Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Anker Innovations Limited (300866.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$116.52 - $321.41$180.29
Multi-Stage$80.66 - $88.04$84.28
Blended Fair Value$132.29
Current Price$121.73
Upside8.67%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS52.46%0.00%2.120.960.610.620.000.260.330.550.250.00
YoY Growth--121.23%57.36%-1.76%13,918.47%-98.28%-21.88%-40.25%124.68%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.05%1.53%1.19%1.19%0.00%0.23%0.00%0.49%0.22%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,575.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,131.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,444.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)515.13321.96193.17
Cash Retained (M)1,444.471,444.471,444.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-515.13-321.96-193.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)929.341,122.521,251.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)534.41534.41534.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.742.102.34
LTM Dividend per Share2.122.122.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.742.102.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.864.224.46
WACC / Discount Rate8.99%8.99%8.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$116.52$180.29$321.41
Upside / Downside-4.28%48.11%164.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,575.642,743.062,921.363,111.253,313.483,528.853,634.72
Payout Ratio43.92%53.13%62.35%71.57%80.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,131.171,457.511,821.492,226.632,676.753,175.973,362.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.99%8.99%8.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,324.721,337.271,349.83
Year 2 PV (M)1,504.701,533.361,562.29
Year 3 PV (M)1,671.801,719.791,768.69
Year 4 PV (M)1,826.651,896.891,969.15
Year 5 PV (M)1,969.862,065.012,163.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)34,807.0036,488.1938,233.73
Equity Value (M)43,104.7345,040.5247,047.48
Shares Outstanding (M)534.41534.41534.41
Fair Value$80.66$84.28$88.04
Upside / Downside-33.74%-30.76%-27.68%

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