Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Guangdong Yizumi Precision Machinery Co.,Ltd. (300415.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31.67 - $75.85$46.88
Multi-Stage$22.75 - $24.82$23.77
Blended Fair Value$35.32
Current Price$26.15
Upside35.08%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.87%26.93%0.480.440.570.190.160.170.230.130.110.13
YoY Growth--9.27%-22.09%205.59%13.12%-0.89%-28.22%82.13%20.04%-17.24%186.55%
Dividend Yield--2.13%2.20%2.76%1.36%0.82%2.33%2.88%0.81%0.89%1.37%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)691.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)263.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)428.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)138.3486.4751.88
Cash Retained (M)428.31428.31428.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-138.34-86.47-51.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)289.97341.85376.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)468.18468.18468.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.620.730.80
LTM Dividend per Share0.560.560.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.620.730.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.181.291.37
WACC / Discount Rate9.44%9.44%9.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$31.67$46.88$75.85
Upside / Downside21.12%79.27%190.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)691.72736.69784.57835.57889.88947.72976.15
Payout Ratio38.08%48.46%58.85%69.23%79.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)263.41357.03461.71578.48708.49852.95902.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.44%9.44%9.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)323.18326.24329.31
Year 2 PV (M)378.31385.51392.79
Year 3 PV (M)429.05441.36453.91
Year 4 PV (M)475.65493.94512.76
Year 5 PV (M)518.34543.38569.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,524.508,936.239,363.73
Equity Value (M)10,649.0211,126.6711,621.86
Shares Outstanding (M)468.18468.18468.18
Fair Value$22.75$23.77$24.82
Upside / Downside-13.02%-9.12%-5.07%

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