Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

My Humble House Hospitality Management Consulting Co., Ltd. (2739.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel LodgingSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.28 - $44.82$32.74
Multi-Stage$75.13 - $82.78$78.88
Blended Fair Value$55.81
Current Price$38.65
Upside44.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.001.211.211.212.662.791.76
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-54.55%-4.35%58.55%156.80%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.79%4.86%3.35%5.62%6.17%2.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)156.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)91.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)64.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.2219.5111.71
Cash Retained (M)64.5564.5564.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.22-19.51-11.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)33.3445.0452.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)92.0892.0892.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.360.490.57
LTM Dividend per Share0.990.990.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.360.490.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.361.481.57
WACC / Discount Rate4.77%4.77%4.77%
Growth Rate-0.77%0.23%1.23%
Fair Value$24.28$32.74$44.82
Upside / Downside-37.17%-15.30%15.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)156.08156.43156.79157.15157.51157.87162.60
Payout Ratio58.64%64.91%71.18%77.46%83.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)91.53101.55111.61121.72131.88142.08150.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.77%4.77%4.77%
Growth Rate-0.77%0.23%1.23%
Year 1 PV (M)95.9696.9297.89
Year 2 PV (M)99.66101.68103.72
Year 3 PV (M)102.71105.85109.05
Year 4 PV (M)105.15109.46113.89
Year 5 PV (M)107.05112.56118.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,407.206,736.627,079.46
Equity Value (M)6,917.737,263.097,622.29
Shares Outstanding (M)92.0892.0892.08
Fair Value$75.13$78.88$82.78
Upside / Downside94.38%104.08%114.17%

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