Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,946.20 - $4,650.11$4,357.45
Multi-Stage$3,243.89 - $3,563.66$3,400.76
Blended Fair Value$3,879.11
Current Price$82.73
Upside4,588.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS18.66%0.00%2.522.511.922.092.341.070.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.26%30.67%-7.90%-10.71%118.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.29%3.67%5.20%4.69%5.07%1.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)565.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)120.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)445.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)113.1170.6942.42
Cash Retained (M)445.04445.04445.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-113.11-70.69-42.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)331.93374.35402.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.9623.9623.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share13.8515.6216.80
LTM Dividend per Share5.035.035.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share13.8515.6216.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend18.8820.6521.83
WACC / Discount Rate-2.31%-2.31%-2.31%
Growth Rate4.51%5.51%6.51%
Fair Value$3,946.20$4,357.45$4,650.11
Upside / Downside4,669.97%5,167.08%5,520.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)565.54596.70629.58664.26700.86739.47761.65
Payout Ratio21.31%35.05%48.78%62.52%76.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)120.50209.12307.14415.32534.48665.52704.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-2.31%-2.31%-2.31%
Growth Rate4.51%5.51%6.51%
Year 1 PV (M)212.03214.06216.09
Year 2 PV (M)315.75321.82327.95
Year 3 PV (M)432.91445.46458.25
Year 4 PV (M)564.89586.82609.39
Year 5 PV (M)713.18747.96784.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)75,498.3479,180.1683,004.25
Equity Value (M)77,737.1181,496.2985,400.01
Shares Outstanding (M)23.9623.9623.96
Fair Value$3,243.89$3,400.76$3,563.66
Upside / Downside3,821.06%4,010.67%4,207.58%

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