Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Artner Co.,Ltd. (2163.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Staffing & Employment ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,099.41 - $1,635.17$1,354.67
Multi-Stage$1,021.48 - $1,106.23$1,063.13
Blended Fair Value$1,208.90
Current Price$1,973.00
Upside-38.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS30.56%31.55%77.0877.0240.1725.4121.8420.3215.9312.679.957.46
YoY Growth--0.08%91.74%58.06%16.37%7.47%27.58%25.75%27.36%33.36%50.11%
Dividend Yield--4.11%3.53%3.01%3.06%2.72%3.07%1.84%1.13%1.63%2.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,331.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)866.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)465.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)266.36166.4799.88
Cash Retained (M)465.05465.05465.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-266.36-166.47-99.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)198.69298.57365.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.6310.6310.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share18.7028.1034.37
LTM Dividend per Share81.5781.5781.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share18.7028.1034.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend100.27109.67115.94
WACC / Discount Rate15.12%15.12%15.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,099.41$1,354.67$1,635.17
Upside / Downside-44.28%-31.34%-17.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,331.791,418.351,510.541,608.731,713.301,824.661,879.40
Payout Ratio65.08%70.06%75.05%80.03%85.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)866.74993.761,133.641,287.501,456.581,642.191,738.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate15.12%15.12%15.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)855.12863.23871.33
Year 2 PV (M)839.39855.38871.52
Year 3 PV (M)820.32843.86867.86
Year 4 PV (M)798.57829.28860.86
Year 5 PV (M)774.72812.14850.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,765.557,092.337,431.61
Equity Value (M)10,853.6611,296.2111,754.17
Shares Outstanding (M)10.6310.6310.63
Fair Value$1,021.48$1,063.13$1,106.23
Upside / Downside-48.23%-46.12%-43.93%

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